Friday, October 30, 2009

Thabo's Thunder




As long as you're not calling them the "Zombie Sonics," the Oklahoma City Thunder live up to their nickname.  First noticed as if by gut reaction to subtle vibrations that arrive before the noise, the Thunder have been gathering attention without yet doing anything worth noticing.  Any observer gets the instinctual sense that there's great potential here.  It's nothing concrete, but that only adds to the excitement.  It's the idea of possibility and the anticipation of future amazement.  We can sense it. 


Their resigning this week of Thabo Sefolosha only adds to the tension.  He's another good, young player with a clear set of skills that complement the abilities of those around him, and he's on the cheap.  He just makes sense.  And so we wait, excitement growing with every Russell Westbrook steal and every Kevin Durant jumper, for the impending explosion of noise.

The star of this incarnation of the Thunder is clearly budding superstar and possible scoring automaton Kevin Durant.  As a 6-9 small forward that can go to nearly every offensive move in the book at will, he deservedly demands our attention.  There's a certain thrill to watching an unstoppable scorer, a player contributing so clearly to his team's success that we watch in half awe, half excited bemusement; Did you see that? Unbelievable.  Scary.

That's what makes Thabo important, nay, necessary to this team.  Science has shown repeatedly that attraction is based on symmetry.  We like seeing a mirror image, whether it be of ourselves in a mirror or the opposing sides of a loved one's face; it's comforting.  There is eternal truth in symmetry; it just makes sense.


In Durant and Sefolosha, we get two sides of the same coin.  Durant's explosive offensive repertoire is balanced by a defensive skill set that is lacking, though not exclusively of his own doing.  When playing shooting guard he often looked like a spider trying to defend an ant, all arms and legs trying vainly to stop the smaller force of a single mind from getting past him.  It looked not unlike a one-on-one game of Red Rover, and Durant often lost.


Speaking of lost, this is perhaps the most apt description of Thabo on offense.  As awkward as Durant appears on defense, his Swiss counterpart has him beat on offense, often looking as though he believes his team loses points for every second the ball stays in his hand.  I'm unsure of making statements about his offensive skill set because I don't know how good he could be, because he looks youthfully uncomfortable.  It would be like making a judgment about a college student's future sexual exploits at move in day.  There's just no way to get an honest inference from him. 


Durant is the proven scorer who is developing his defense; Thabo is the proven defender developing an offensive game.  They're exact opposites in skill set, but in one they'd make a team-defining whole.  Hopefully, eventually, they'll lose that symmetry.  Durant will improve his defense, removing the final wart from his game. The adjusted plus minus stat doesn't take too kindly to Durant's defense, and the sooner that skill approaches Sefolosha's the sooner he'll put any talk that he's overrated to rest.  But for now he needs Thabo like the Thunder need Thabo.  He's at once a foil to and mirror image of Durant, and though he's under-appreciated this signing only makes it more likely that the Thunder are capable of something special, eventually.  I can sense it.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Big Flagrant Five News



The lack of posting here recently has been due to an abundance of work going into some other projects, and I'm happy to announce that those nebulous "other projects" have turned into "awesome opportunities." 

As of early next week when the first post hits the interwebs, I'll be writing articles for the personal website of Milwaukee Bucks rookie point guard (and Under Armour spokesman) Brandon Jennings.  As I said in my power rankings--I'll be watching a lot of Bucks games this year (I honest to God wrote that before I knew about any of this).  And, after the Bobcats - Celtics game last night, I can move the the Bucks out of the cellar next week honorably.  So...win-win!




Also, I've been blessed with the chance to write for Dominique Wilkins.  If you're here, you already know as much about 'Nique as I do.  Needless to say, I'm psyched.

So yeah, that's that.  I'll be here posting more regularly, though I'll be sticking to longer form pieces unless there's something like Melo's dunk that demands attention.  Don't hold it against me if I can't stay away.

Consider Jazz Forward Paul Millsap You-Tuberized



With that outlet pass, Paul Millsap proved himself as the anti-Bill Walton.  Rejoice, Blazer fans.  LaMarcus Aldridge may be overpaid, but I've never seen him make an outlet pass like that.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Preseason Power Rankings

The Flagrant Five Power Rankings will be appearing on a monthly basis, generally toward the end of each month. This look was written prior to the start of the season, and thus I don't plan to be held accountable for any of what follows...


1.  San Antonio Spurs—You get the feeling they have one more year, and the additions of veteran power forward Antonio McDyess through free agency and rookie big man DeJuan Blair through the draft should help limit Tim Duncan’s minutes, saving him for the playoffs.  With Gregg Popovich at the helm it’s difficult to see this team sliding too far into the pack.

2.  Orlando Magic—Despite losing Hedo Turkoglu, the do-it-all forward that keyed their unique lineups last year, the Magic come back more talented than ever.  They lost Courtney Lee via trade, but added Vince Carter, Ryan Anderson, Matt Barnes, and Brandon Bass.  Heck, even Jason Williams unretired to join them.  They may not be able to force the same kinds of mismatches as last year, but they strengthened their team and still have all kinds of matchup difficulties (namely featuring two athletic 6-10 forwards that can shoot the three in Anderson and Rashard Lewis).  Until someone proves they’re better in the East, this is the pick.

3.  Los Angeles Lakers—The Lakers added Ron Artest and kept newly-hitched (and soon-to-be-annulled) Lamar Odom, they should be the top team, right?  Wrong.  They lost Trevor Ariza, a younger, cheaper, more athletic version of Artest that was more than happy to do anything to win.  If Andrew Bynum can stay healthy and fulfill his promise they’ll move up sooner rather than later.

4.  Cleveland Cavaliers—I felt it was a relatively disappointing offseason for the Cavs.  They’re in a tough spot, simultaneously trying to win now but build for a future bright enough to entice LeBron James to stay after this season.  They added Shaq, but it’s not clear how he solves any major problem they had last season (namely, floor spacing and pick & roll defense—in fact, he’ll hurt both).  They did get him for nothing, but he’s not their savior.  A move I like more, actually, is getting shooting guard Anthony Parker, especially if Delonte West is unable to play for a long-stretch.  The Cavs are still a very good team, but I don’t see them contending realistically for the championship unless James has the best season ever or they make one more addition.

5.  Boston Celtics
—They’re in a dead heat with Cleveland, I just knocked Boston down a notch for not offering fan-favorite Leon Powe a contract extension.  Powe did everything the Celtics asked (except NOT blow out his knees), and they unceremoniously let him go after the season.  They signed Rasheed Wallace as cover for an injured Kevin Garnett, and added Marquis Daniels as well.  For all the window dressing, this team will go as far as Kevin Garnett carries them.  If he’s healthy in the playoffs the Celtics are the favorites for the Eastern Conference.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Week 1 Fantasy Primer




In fantasy leagues with weekly changes one of the best ways to rack up stats is to squeeze extra games out of your roster. While superstars should be started every week, scheduling will factor in when deciding whom to round out your roster with. This is an in-depth look at the schedule for each week, identifying teams with extra games and favorable matchups to help you take advantage.

Two Games: Golden State, Indiana, Milwaukee, Utah
Three Games: Atlanta, Cleveland, Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles Lakers, Memphis, Miami, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Orleans, New York, Oklahoma City, Orlando, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Sacramento, San Antonio, Toronto, Washington
Four Games: Boston, Cleveland, Los Angeles Clippers, Portland

There’s not much to be gained from scheduling this week, as 22 of the league’s 30 teams have 3 games each. Let’s start by taking a look at teams playing 2 or 4 games, though:

Two Games

Golden State Warriors: Though they play only two games during the opening week, they’re both against teams that figure to push the tempo this season: Phoenix and Houston. This plays into Golden State’s freewheeling offensive style, and despite only playing two games their entire starting lineup (PG Stephen Curry, SG Monta Ellis, SF Stephen Jackson, PF Corey Maggette, and C Andris Biedrins) is worth of fantasy consideration this week. Biedrins makes for a nice 2nd center, and Curry could really rack up the assists with all the other scorers on this team. Much was made of Monta Ellis saying at the start of the preseason that he and Curry couldn’t play together, but it seems they’ll start off doing just that. The two Anthony’s off the bench (SG Anthony Morrow and PF Anthony Randolph) also could be worthy of starting spots; Morrow if you’re short on three point shooting, and Randolph if you’re a risk taker. I, like nearly everyone else, am high on Randolph and think he will contribute in most categories.

Indiana Pacers: SF Danny Granger is a must start every week, but beyond that it gets murky. PG TJ Ford now has the starting point guard spot to himself with Jarrett Jack in Toronto, and could be started in most leagues as well, especially if you’re light on steals and assists. C Troy Murphy has value too, but I wouldn’t look at anyone else in a short week until they establish themselves.

Milwaukee Bucks: Volume scorer SG Michael Redd and floppy-haired C Andrew Bogut are the only two Bucks that should find themselves in fantasy lineups this week as a few roles are still up in the air, and neither of them figure to be especially strong plays at that. If you happen to find yourself watching the Bucks, there are a couple spots to keep an eye on: if either PG Brandon Jennings or PG Luke Ridnour can distinguish himself from the other they’ll have some value, as will the winner of the minutes at the forward spots. Whether that’s SF Joe Alexander, SF Hakim Warrick, or SF Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is anyone’s guess, and each would bring something slightly different. Unless you’re in deep league or faced with a tough injury, it’s not of much consequence.


Utah Jazz: With only two games, only PG Deron Williams is a must-start, with C Mehmet Okur, PF Paul Millsap, and PF Carlos Boozer ranking as very good options as well. If you’re short on blocks SF Andrei Kirilenko makes for a good play, and SG Ronnie Brewer could be used if you’re short on steals as well.